Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vad I. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 5
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Sports MENA 6
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Chile	17:00	Disney+
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	14:00	FOX Sports 2
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 13
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Cercle Brugge		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.2	3.6	3.1
	2.23	3.76	3.2
	2.12	3.72	3.08	Watch
	2.2	3.4	2.9
	2.17	3.83	3.18
	2.2	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)	3.63 ↓ (3.67)	3.08 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
43.3%

Draw
26%

İstanbul Başakşehir
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.7%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

26.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cercle Brugge's form might have worsened.

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cercle Brugge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.8%	12.5%

Cercle Brugge - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cercle Brugge: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Delanghe M. (G) 3. Utkus E. 66. Ravych C. 18. Miangue S. 34. Somers T. (C) 27. De Wilde N. 17. Francis A. 15. Magnee G. 11. Minda A. 13. Brunner P. 10. Felipe Augusto	16. Sengezer M. (G) 5. Duarte L. (C) 27. Ba O. 3. Opoku J. 6. Lima L. 8. Kemen O. 4. Ergun O. 13. Crespo M. 23. Turuc D. 9. Piatek K. 91. Davidson
Substitutes
6. Agyekum L. 95. De Bel T. (G) 2. Diakite I. 7. Efekele M. 4. Gomis D. 84. Langenbick B. (G) 76. Lietaert J. 19. Olaigbe K. 28. van der Bruggen H.	1. Babacan V. (G) 98. Dilmen D. (G) 25. Figueiredo J. 15. Gureler H. 75. Kaplan E. 2. Ozdemir B. 14. Pelkas D.
Coaches
Feldhofer F.	Atan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Magnee G. 🟨,
35', Sengezer M. 🟨,
45+1', Ergun O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Utkus E. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
61', Minda A. ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
61', Felipe Augusto ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
70', Ba O. 🟨,
70', De Wilde N. ↓, Agyekum L. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
81', Turuc D. ↓, Figueiredo J. ↑,
81', Francis A. ↓, van der Bruggen H. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Brunner P. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
87', Crespo M. ↓, Pelkas D. ↑,
90+3', Ergun O. ↓, Gureler H. ↑,
90+3', Lima L. ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Cercle Brugge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Başakşehir is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Başakşehir have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Bruninho (Knee Injury) Nazinho (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Başakşehir: Gurler S. (Injury) Sahiner O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Ouattara A. K. (Muscle Injury) Warleson (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Başakşehir: Ergun O. (Injury) Figueiredo J. (Injury) Keny P. P. (Injury) Sengezer M. (Ribs Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.12.24	Gent - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Cercle Brugge	1:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTLL
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
15.12.24	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
08.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Hatayspor	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Göztepe	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWT

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