Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fenerbahçe		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.75
	1.66	4.24	4.24	Watch
	1.74	4.43	4.47
	1.68	4.47	4.29
	1.67	4	4.2
	1.72	4.31	4.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.48)	4.28 ↓ (4.77)	4.42 ↓ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
56.5%

Draw
22.1%

İstanbul Başakşehir
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

20.1%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

19.6%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Gunok M. (G) 27. Semedo N. 4. Soyuncu C. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 22. Mercan L. 5. Yuksek I. 17. Kante N. 20. Musaba A. 7. Fred 9. Akturkoglu K. 94. Talisca	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 88. Karatas K. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 7. Sari Y. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 91. Yildirim B.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez E. 21. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 39. Biterge E. (G) 13. Cetin T. (G) 26. Cherif S. 14. Demir Y. E. 54. Ekici A. 37. Skriniar M. 67. Uregen K.	80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 13. Crespo M. 10. Da Costa N. 4. Ergun O. 11. Fayzullaev A. 2. Ozdemir B. 9. Selke D.
Coaches
Gole Z.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Talisca ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Harit A. ⚽, Karatas K. (A),
45+2', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
45+3', Opoku J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Opoku J. ↓, Ba O. ↑,
46', Ba O. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Talisca ⚽, Fred (A),
61', Harit A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
61', Yildirim B. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
61', Gunes U. ↓, Ergun O. ↑,
66', Musaba A. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Talisca ⚽, Fred (A),
75', Shomurodov E. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
82', Kante N. 🟨,
82', Talisca ↓, Cherif S. ↑,
90', Fred ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.

In recent matches, Fenerbahçe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Başakşehir is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Başakşehir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Ankle Injury) Brown A. (Yellow Cards) Ederson (Red Card) Guendouzi M. (Yellow Cards) Muldur M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	19:6	13	13
14	Basaksehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
26.04.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
21.04.26	Konyaspor - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
17.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
05.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTWW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League
24.04.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kasımpaşa	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	Trabzonspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Gençlerbirliği	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Kocaelispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
06.12.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:1
09.05.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:4
15.12.24	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:1
24.01.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	0:1
28.09.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:0
Turkish Cup
11.06.23	Fenerbahçe - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:0
Turkish Super League
19.04.23	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:2

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