Match Info

Date: 31 March 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Addis Ababa Ketema		Bahir Dar Kenema

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Addis Ababa Ketema
31.2%

Draw
32.3%

Bahir Dar Kenema
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

32.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

33.6%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Addis Ababa Ketema have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Addis Ababa Ketema than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Addis Ababa Ketema is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bahir Dar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Addis Ababa Ketema won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Addis Ababa Ketema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.03.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Saint George	1:3 ✺
23.02.22	Sidama Coffee - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:0 ✺
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5 ✺
10.02.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Welayta Dicha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
28.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:1 ✺
21.02.22	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
10.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City	2:0 ✺
03.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTWL

Ethiopian Premier League
19.10.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Addis Ababa Ketema	3:0

Addis Ababa Ketema - Bahir Dar Kenema