Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL South Australia - Round 11

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Olympic		Adelaide City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.8
	3.75	3.75	1.78	Watch
	3.75	4.17	1.83
	3.75	4.17	1.79
	3.6	3.8	1.75
	3.66	3.92	1.81	Watch
	3.55	3.9	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.26)	3.94 ↑ (3.56)	1.79 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Adelaide Olympic
25.2%

Draw
23.4%

Adelaide City
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

26%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Olympic's form might have worsened.

Adelaide City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Olympic than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Adelaide Olympic will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Adelaide City will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Torriani M. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Ferreira F. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Piscioneri A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', Adesida A. 🟥,
55', 1 - 3, Lawrie-Lattanzio L. ⚽,
63', 1 - 4, Bucco N. ⚽,
73', 1 - 5, Bressan D. ⚽,
85', 1 - 6, Bressan D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Olympic FC
Australian NPL South Australian
10.05.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide Olympic	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Adelaide Olympic - North Eastern MetroStars	4:3 ✺
19.04.24	Croydon - Adelaide Olympic	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide United Youth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.4 WTWTL
- Adelaide City
Australian NPL South Australian
10.05.24	Adelaide City - North Eastern MetroStars	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Croydon - Adelaide City	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Adelaide City - Adelaide United U23	2:3 ✺
19.04.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide City	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Adelaide City - Campbelltown City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
10.06.23	Adelaide City - Adelaide Olympic	5:1
24.03.23	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City	1:1
13.08.22	Adelaide City - Adelaide Olympic	6:0
21.05.22	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City	0:2
14.08.21	Adelaide City - Adelaide Olympic	2:0
29.05.21	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City	1:1
03.10.20	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City	2:1

Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide