The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Modbury Jets 35.2%
Draw 25.3%
Adelaide City 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
25.3%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
24.5%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modbury Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modbury Jets's performance.
Adelaide City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Modbury Jets - Adelaide City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Kitano Y. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 4.
Modbury is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Adelaide City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Modbury has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Modbury won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
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