Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 12

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Adelaide United U23		Adelaide Croatia Raiders

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.33	4
	1.62	4.4	3.9
	1.61	4.7	4.04
	1.64	4.72	4.11	Watch
	1.65	4	4
	1.56	4.5	4.25
	1.59	4.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	4.44 ↑ (4.1)	4.03 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United U23
56.7%

Draw
20.6%

Adelaide Croatia Raiders
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

20.7%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Adelaide Croatia Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Croatia Raiders than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Croatia Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
88', Kasumovic F. 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League).

Adelaide United U23 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adelaide Croatia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Adelaide Croatia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Adelaide United U23 has had a series of home games.

Adelaide United U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Adelaide United U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian
24.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide City	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Playford City Patriots	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Campbelltown City - Adelaide United U23	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Adelaide United U23 - West Torrens Birkalla	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLLW
- Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australian NPL South Australian
24.05.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide City	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Campbelltown City - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Para Hills Knights	2:2 ✺
01.05.25	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3:2 ✺
24.04.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide Comets	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
22.02.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide United U23	0:1
09.08.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide United U23	1:2
18.05.24	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0:2

Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Croatia Raiders