Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 21

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Victory		Cumberland United

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.4	1.47
	4.75	4.75	1.47
	5	4.75	1.51
	4.57	4.77	1.52	Watch
	4.99	4.55	1.48
	4.75	4.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.57)	4.66 ↑ (4)	1.49 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Victory
19%

Draw
19.6%

Cumberland United
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

22.7%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide Victory's form might have worsened.

Cumberland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cumberland United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide Victory, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumberland United than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cumberland United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adelaide Victory - Cumberland United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
27.07.24	Adelaide Vipers - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Cobras	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Fulham United - Adelaide Victory	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Western Strikers	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Playford City Patriots - Adelaide Victory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL
- Cumberland United
Australian SA State League
27.07.24	Adelaide Cobras - Cumberland United	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Cumberland United - Western Strikers	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Salisbury United - Cumberland United	3:1 ✺
29.06.24	Cumberland United - West Torrens Birkalla	3:0 ✺
22.06.24	West Adelaide - Cumberland United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
11.05.24	Cumberland United - Adelaide Victory	2:0

Adelaide Victory - Cumberland United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide