Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 18

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Fulham United		Adelaide Victory

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	3.5
	1.95	3.6	3.2
	1.87	4.21	3.04
	1.85	4.19	3.24	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4
	1.82	3.68	3.63
	1.95	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	3.83 ↓ (4.05)	3.4 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham United
49.5%

Draw
23.8%

Adelaide Victory
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

17.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fulham United's form might have worsened.

Adelaide Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide Victory's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fulham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Fulham United - Adelaide Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham United
Australian SA State League
29.06.24	Playford City Patriots - Fulham United	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Fulham United - Sturt Lions	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Fulham United	4:0 ✺
08.06.24	Fulham United - Cumberland United	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Adelaide Cobras - Fulham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLL
- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
07.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Western Strikers	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Playford City Patriots - Adelaide Victory	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide Victory - Salisbury United	2:4 ✺
08.06.24	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
20.04.24	Adelaide Victory - Fulham United	2:3

Fulham United - Adelaide Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide