Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 20

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Vipers		Adelaide Victory

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.2
	1.85	4	3.25
	1.93	4.05	3.14
	1.83	4.14	3.33	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.1
	1.9	3.82	3.25
	1.85	4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.9 ↑ (3.75)	3.22 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Vipers
48.5%

Draw
23.3%

Adelaide Victory
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

19.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Adelaide Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Vipers than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Vipers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Victory could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adelaide Vipers - Adelaide Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Vipers FC
Australian SA State League
20.07.24	Fulham United - Adelaide Vipers	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	Adelaide Vipers - Playford City Patriots	1:6 ✺
29.06.24	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Vipers	4:2 ✺
22.06.24	Adelaide Vipers - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Cumberland United - Adelaide Vipers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLLWL
- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
20.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Cobras	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Fulham United - Adelaide Victory	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Adelaide Victory - Western Strikers	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Playford City Patriots - Adelaide Victory	1:0 ✺
15.06.24	Adelaide Victory - Salisbury United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
04.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Vipers	0:1

Adelaide Vipers - Adelaide Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide