Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 15

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday


	Adelaide Victory		Salisbury United

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.62
	3.75	4.33	1.66
	3.55	4.95	1.71
	3.18	5	1.75
	3.9	4	1.6
	3.93	4	1.69
	3.75	4.33	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.64)	4.37 ↑ (4.33)	1.67 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Victory
24.5%

Draw
20.9%

Salisbury United
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

21.1%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.7%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Salisbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Victory that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salisbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	0%	89.2%

Adelaide Victory - Salisbury United Predictions

Users Predictions: Salisbury United will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, ⚽,
15', 0 - 3, ⚽,
39', 0 - 4, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
08.06.24	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
30.05.24	West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Adelaide Victory - West Adelaide	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Cumberland United - Adelaide Victory	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LLWLL
- Salisbury United
Australian SA State League
08.06.24	Salisbury United - West Torrens Birkalla	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	West Adelaide - Salisbury United	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Adelaide Vipers - Salisbury United	3:2 ✺
18.05.24	Fulham United - Salisbury United	0:2 ✺
11.05.24	Salisbury United - Playford City Patriots	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWT

Adelaide Victory - Salisbury United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide