Match Info

AUSTRALIA: SA State League - Round 14

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday


	Sturt Lions		Adelaide Victory

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.9	4.01	3.49
	1.82	4.02	3.49
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.79	3.76	3.67
	1.85	3.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	3.78 ↓ (4)	3.46 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt Lions
49.7%

Draw
24%

Adelaide Victory
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

22.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

21.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Adelaide Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturt Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Victory than the current prediction. (-4%)

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Victory Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 0, ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Sturt Lions is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Adelaide Victory is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sturt Lions could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sturt Lions is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sturt Lions to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
01.06.24	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	1:4 ✺
25.05.24	Sturt Lions - Cumberland United	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Western Strikers - Sturt Lions	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Sturt Lions - Salisbury United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 WWWLW
- Adelaide Victory
Australian SA State League
30.05.24	West Torrens Birkalla - Adelaide Victory	3:1 ✺
25.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Adelaide Victory - West Adelaide	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Cumberland United - Adelaide Victory	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Adelaide Victory - Adelaide Vipers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LWLLL

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Victory: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide