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Current Win Probability
Adriese 50.8%
Draw 25.2%
Ambrosiana 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.9%
22.5%
13.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
13.2%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adriese's form might have worsened.
Ambrosiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ambrosiana's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adriese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ambrosiana than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Adriese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Ambrosiana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Adriese is absolute favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Adriese won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Adriese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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