Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 23

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday


	Adıyaman		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.8
	4.33	3.2	1.87
	3.7	2.94	1.85
	4.98	3.28	1.77
	3.7	3.2	1.8
	4.67	3.3	1.73
	3.7	3.1	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (2.8)	3.16 ↑ (2.99)	1.82 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adıyaman
21.7%

Draw
28.6%

Karacabey Belediyespor
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

30.2%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adıyaman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adıyaman's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karacabey Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adıyaman than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adıyaman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Adıyaman - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Adıyaman has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Karacabey Belediyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karacabey Belediyespor will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Karacabey Belediyespor to win the game is with odds 2.06.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Adıyaman won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adıyaman FK
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Adıyaman	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Adıyaman - Vanspor	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Adıyaman	2:0 ✺
24.12.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Adıyaman	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Adıyaman - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Bursaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
14.01.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	1:3 ✺
24.12.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Altınordu - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
16.09.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Adıyaman	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
01.10.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Adıyaman	2:1

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