Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Karacabey Belediyespor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.15	3.45
	1.98	3.29	3.79
	1.94	3.38	3.61	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.59
	1.97	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.8)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)	3.55 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karacabey Belediyespor
46.6%

Draw
27.8%

Ankara Demirspor
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

28.6%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Yamac B. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Kot S. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 1, Yamac B. (Own goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 0.

Karacabey Bld is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ankara Demirspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Karacabey Bld is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Karacabey Bld won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:16 (average 1.1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Karacabey Bld won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.01.25	Erbaaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	4:3 ✺
19.01.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	3:4 ✺
22.12.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Konyaspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
14.12.24	Menemenspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLT
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.01.25	Ankara Demirspor - Bucaspor 1928	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Serik Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2 ✺
22.12.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Ankara Demirspor	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Somaspor	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ankara Demirspor - Giresunspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
14.09.24	Ankara Demirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
14.01.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	1:3
26.08.23	Ankara Demirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.04.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2
20.11.22	Ankara Demirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
07.05.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0
25.12.21	Ankara Demirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1

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