Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Afjet Afyonspor		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.5	4	6
	1.51	3.98	6.28
	1.52	3.97	6.27
	1.47	3.94	5.95
	1.48	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	3.93 ↑ (3.32)	6.01 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afjet Afyonspor
61.4%

Draw
23.3%

Bursaspor
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.2%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afjet Afyonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afjet Afyonspor's performance.

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bursaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afjet Afyonspor than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afjet Afyonspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bursaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 14).

Afjet Afyonspor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bursaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Afjet Afyonspor is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Afjet Afyonspor to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Afjet Afyonspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Afjet Afyonspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afjet Afyonspor
Turkish Second League White Group
02.12.23	Ankara Demirspor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Altınordu - Afjet Afyonspor	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Nazillispor	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Ankaraspor - Afjet Afyonspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWWWT
- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League White Group
02.12.23	Bursaspor - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	1461 Trabzon - Bursaspor	3:0 ✺
18.11.23	Bursaspor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	3:3 ✺
12.11.23	Kırklarelispor - Bursaspor	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Bursaspor - Kırşehir	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
22.01.23	Bursaspor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1
05.09.22	Afjet Afyonspor - Bursaspor	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Afjet Afyonspor - Bursaspor	0:1

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