Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 9

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Afjet Afyonspor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.25	1.6
	6	3.4	1.57	Watch
	4.4	3.03	1.64
	5.2	3.3	1.65	Watch
	5.6	3.25	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (3.84)	3.25 ↓ (3.34)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afjet Afyonspor
16.8%

Draw
27.6%

Vanspor
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

27.1%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

26.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afjet Afyonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afjet Afyonspor's form might have worsened.

Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afjet Afyonspor than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afjet Afyonspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Afjet Afyonspor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Afjet Afyonspor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Vanspor will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig).

Recent matches Afjet Afyonspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vanspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Afjet Afyonspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vanspor is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Afjet Afyonspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Afjet Afyonspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afjet Afyonspor
Turkish Second League White Group
14.10.23	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Afjet Afyonspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
11.10.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Adana 1954	2:1 ET ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
01.10.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	1461 Trabzon - Afjet Afyonspor	3:0 ✺
17.09.23	Afjet Afyonspor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Vanspor FK
Turkish Second League White Group
08.10.23	1461 Trabzon - Vanspor	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Vanspor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Vanspor - Kırşehir	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Vanspor - Adıyaman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
09.02.22	Vanspor - Afjet Afyonspor	2:1
12.09.21	Afjet Afyonspor - Vanspor	2:2

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