Match Info

1. Lig - Round 34

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ismail Ogan Stadium (Serik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Vanspor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	2.05	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.2
	3.28	3.37	2.04
	3.45	3.55	2.09
	3.37	3.5	2.06	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.35	3.28	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (4.31)	3.36 ↓ (3.65)	2.07 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
28.1%

Draw
27.4%

Vanspor
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.7%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serik Belediyespor's performance.

Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serik Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Vanspor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Karakaya B. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 28. Montes A. 4. Martynov A. 79. Altiparmak G. 5. Demir C. 58. Asan B. 77. Nalepa M. 98. Topalli J. 20. Dilli S. (C) 9. Sadygov I.	1. Uysal A. (G) 22. Destici S. 53. Cavusoglu M. 4. Dikmen E. 35. Isciler B. 44. Secgin E. 10. Jefferson 20. Mamah K. 76. Kara B. C. (C) 7. Hostikka S. 19. Bikoue
Substitutes
14. Adeola R. 15. Akyildiz A. D. 39. Demirozu M. 23. Gunes E. (G) 61. Ibrahimoglu M. 95. Koc A. 40. Nwachukwu C. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S.	25. Akbaba C. (G) 45. Bars E. 65. Bingol M. 17. Caglayan O. 21. Demirol A. 16. Gebecelioglu B. (G) 6. Jevsenak Z. 41. Ozcan M. 8. Traore A. 77. Usta G.
Coaches
Petrovic B.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Bikoue ⚽, Destici S. (A),
14', Kara B. C. 🟨,
16', Bikoue 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Martynov A. (Own goal),
35', 1 - 2, Topalli J. ⚽, Karakaya B. (A),
41', Dilli S. 🟨,
45+4', Ceylan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Sadygov I. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
55', 1 - 3, Mamah K. ⚽, Bikoue (A),
57', Mamah K. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
66', Kara B. C. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
67', Jefferson 🟨,
67', Martynov A. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
70', 1 - 4, Secgin E. ⚽,
73', 1 - 5, Bikoue ⚽, Bars E. (A),
77', Bikoue ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
77', Jefferson ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
77', Cavusoglu M. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
79', Ceylan B. 🟨,
84', Topalli J. ↓, Koc A. ↑,
84', Nalepa M. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
84', Asan B. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
85', 1 - 6, Hostikka S. ⚽, Bars E. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vanspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Cavlan C. (Yellow Cards) Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
04.04.26	Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Amed SK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- Vanspor FK
Turkish First League
04.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Vanspor	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Vanspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Vanspor - Adana Demirspor	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Pendikspor - Vanspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
29.11.25	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.03.25	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	6:2
17.11.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
27.01.24	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:1
10.09.23	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	0:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
23.04.23	Vanspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2
20.11.22	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	2:4

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