The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afragolese 52.3%
Draw 26.6%
Lanusei 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
27.5%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
26.3%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Lanusei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Lanusei aligns with the current prediction.
Afragolese - Lanusei Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Afragolese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lanusei is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Afragolese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Afragolese is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Afragolese to win the game is with odds 1.79.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Afragolese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.