Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Insieme Formia		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	2.72	3.35	2.25
	3.84	3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↓ (3.84)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.04 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Insieme Formia
26.7%

Draw
28.5%

Afragolese
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

27.7%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

21.8%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Insieme Formia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Insieme Formia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Insieme Formia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Afragolese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Insieme Formia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Afragolese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Afragolese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Afragolese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Insieme Formia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Insieme Formia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Insieme Formia
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Vis Artena - Insieme Formia	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Muravera - Insieme Formia	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Insieme Formia - Carbonia	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Arzachena - Insieme Formia	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Insieme Formia - Nuova Florida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Afragolese - Real Monterotondo	3:2 ✺
27.02.22	Latte Dolce - Afragolese	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Gladiator - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Afragolese - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Carbonia - Afragolese	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
31.10.21	Afragolese - Insieme Formia	2:1
09.06.21	Insieme Formia - Afragolese	2:1
07.02.21	Afragolese - Insieme Formia	0:2

Insieme Formia - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide