Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Afragolese		Real Monterotondo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.58	3.39	4.4
	1.57	3.6	4.75
	1.67	3.3	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	3.47 ↑ (3.39)	4.8 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
55.7%

Draw
25.7%

Real Monterotondo
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Real Monterotondo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monterotondo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Afragolese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Monterotondo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Afragolese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.02.22	Latte Dolce - Afragolese	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Gladiator - Afragolese	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Afragolese - Aprilia	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Carbonia - Afragolese	3:3 ✺
30.01.22	Afragolese - Vis Artena	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTTW
- Real Monterotondo
Italian Serie D - Group G
26.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
20.02.22	Aprilia - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Cassino	1:4 ✺
12.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Ostia Mare	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Gladiator - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWL

Afragolese - Real Monterotondo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide