Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)

Referee: Thrastarson S. H. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport
World	Onefootball


	Afturelding		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.65
	2.3	3.7	2.68	Watch
	2.38	3.94	2.68
	2.27	3.87	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.4	3.75	2.62	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	2.68 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
40.3%

Draw
24.9%

Akraness
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

24.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Afturelding - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Afturelding will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Akraness will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 23. Palsson S. 2. Sigmarsson G. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 16. Barkarson B. B. 30. Sigurjonsson O. 7. Johannsson A. 10. Cogic E. 77. Magnusson H. 20. Stokke B.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 13. Sandberg E. 6. Stefansson O. 3. Vall J. 17. Unnarsson G. 16. Sigurjonsson R. (C) 7. Haraldsson H. 19. Vardic M. 22. Stefansson O. 9. Jonsson V.
Substitutes
21. Hafthorsson T. G. 19. Hugason S. 12. Johannesson A. (G) 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 11. Ragnarsson A. 4. Runolfsson B.	33. Agustsson A. 5. Berndsen B. 20. Gudjonsson I. 15. Gunnarsson G. 77. Hauksson J. 4. Jonsson H. 18. Leosson G. 12. Simonarson J. S. (G) 23. Vifilsson R.
Coaches
Einarsson M.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Jonsson V. ⚽, Unnarsson G. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽, Andresson A. (A),
35', Andresson A. 🟨,
44', Palsson S. 🟨,
45+3', Jonsson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Palsson S. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑,
59', Stefansson O. 🟨,
63', Johannsson A. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽, Stokke B. (A),
76', Stefansson O. ↓, Gudjonsson I. ↑,
76', Haraldsson H. ↓, Leosson G. ↑,
77', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
80', Cogic E. ↓, Jonasson A. ↑,
84', Vall J. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Stokke B. (Pen),
86', Unnarsson G. ↓, Jonsson H. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, Stokke B. (A),
90+2', Jonsson H. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

Recent performances by Afturelding have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Akraness has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.06.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Afturelding	0:0 ✺
29.05.25	Afturelding - Valur	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	KA Akureyri - Afturelding	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	4:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Akraness - Afturelding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLWW
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
01.06.25	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	0:3 ✺
29.05.25	Breiðablik - Akraness	1:4 ✺
24.05.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Akraness	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Akraness - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Akraness - Afturelding	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Akraness - Afturelding	0:1
Icelandic League Cup
08.02.24	Akraness - Afturelding	5:2
Icelandic Division 1
28.07.23	Afturelding - Akraness	2:5
22.05.23	Akraness - Afturelding	1:1
Icelandic League Cup
11.03.20	Afturelding - Akraness	1:2

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