Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 9

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)

Referee: Jonasson H. M. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
World	Onefootball


	Afturelding		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.9	1.82
	4.5	4.6	1.59	Watch
	4.63	4.68	1.59
	4.45	4.58	1.65	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.85
	4.66	4.7	1.58	Watch
	4.5	4.6	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.22)	4.41 ↓ (4.44)	1.67 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
22.4%

Draw
21.3%

Valur
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.2%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.6%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Afturelding - Valur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Valur (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valur will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Valur (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andresson J. (G) 25. Bjarnason G. 2. Sigmarsson G. 3. Andresson A. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 16. Barkarson B. B. 19. Hugason S. 30. Sigurjonsson O. 10. Cogic E. 77. Magnusson H. 20. Stokke B.	18. Schram F. (G) 4. Nakkim M. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 6. Antonsson B. 20. Omarsson O. 19. Kjartansson O. 7. Johannsson A. 12. Haraldsson T. 8. Jonsson J. 17. Heimisson L. 9. Pedersen P.
Substitutes
27. Cogic E. 22. Grondal R. 21. Hafthorsson T. G. 12. Johannesson A. (G) 7. Johannsson A. 9. Jonasson A. 8. Jonsson A. 23. Palsson S. 4. Runolfsson B.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 33. Hoti A. 13. Kristjansson K. 11. Larusson S. 23. Palsson A. 21. Palsson J. 10. Sigurdsson K. 14. Skoglund A. 16. Stefansson S.
Coaches
Einarsson M.	Tufegdzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Kjartansson O. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Pedersen P. (Pen),
41', 0 - 2, Johannsson A. ⚽, Heimisson L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bjarnason G. ↓, Palsson S. ↑,
61', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
66', Kjartansson O. ↓, Sigurdsson K. ↑,
66', Pedersen P. ↓, Larusson S. ↑,
72', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
77', Hugason S. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
83', Haraldsson T. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
83', Heimisson L. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
83', Stokke B. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
84', Antonsson B. ↓, Palsson J. ↑,
90+5', Magnusson H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Valur is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:12. (average 0.3:4).

Including home match between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.05.25	KA Akureyri - Afturelding	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Afturelding - KR Reykjavík	4:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Akraness - Afturelding	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.05.25	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Afturelding - Stjarnan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
24.05.25	Valur - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:0 ✺
19.05.25	Breiðablik - Valur	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Valur - Throttur Reykjavik	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
10.05.25	Valur - Akraness	6:1 ✺
04.05.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
17.05.24	Afturelding - Valur	1:3
Icelandic League Cup
13.03.21	Valur - Afturelding	3:0
13.03.19	Valur - Afturelding	6:0

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