The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thor Akureyri 67.3%
Draw 18.6%
Selfoss 14.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
21%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
20.1%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.
Selfoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Selfoss might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Selfoss than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Selfoss could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thor Akureyri - Selfoss Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 5. Affi Y. 6. Balde I. 11. Bayiha C. 3. Guardia J. 37. Gunnarsson S. 10. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 19. Ragnarsson R. 7. Sigurjonsson O. 9. Victor R.
1. Blakala R. (G) 9. Birgisson A. 21. Brynjolfsson F. 10. Gil N. 5. Petursson J. (C) 11. Sanabria A. 2. Sigurdsson I. 3. Sveinsson R. 28. Sverrisson E. 15. Vokes A. 32. Vokes A.
Substitutes
2. Arnarsson A. 24. Geirsson Y. 8. Halldorsson E. 30. Helgason P. 18. Ingason S. 12. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H.
77. Einarsson E. 25. Hardarson S. 23. Heidarsson E. 18. Josefsson D. 12. Kjartansson A. (G) 20. Sigurbjornsson E. 7. Willard H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Guardia J. ↓, Ingason S. ↑,
28', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Gunnarsson S. ⚽,
37', Vokes A. 🟨,
42', Sigurjonsson O. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
45', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Victor R. ↓, Geirsson Y. ↑,
53', Runarsson H. 🟨,
61', Birgisson A. ↓, Hardarson S. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Ragnarsson R. ⚽, Magnusson A. (A),
80', 🟨,
80', 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Thor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Thor is the clear favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Thor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1:1.9).
Watch
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Stefansson A. (C) 
Affi Y. 
Balde I. 
Bayiha C. 
Guardia J. 
Victor R. 
Blakala R. (G) 
Lalic F. (G) 
Willard H. 
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