Match Info

ROMANIA: Romanian Cup - Round 3

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Comunal Afumati (Afumati)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	FRF TV


	Afumaţi		Argeș Pitești

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.68
	4.5	3.45	1.76
	4.4	3.44	1.75
	4.17	3.47	1.79	Watch
	4.6	3.2	1.75
	4.67	3.24	1.79	Watch
	4.5	3.45	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (2.54)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)	1.75 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afumaţi
20.6%

Draw
27.1%

Argeș Pitești
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

29.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afumaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afumaţi's form might have worsened.

Argeș Pitești has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argeș Pitești's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afumaţi than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afumaţi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argeș Pitești than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argeș Pitești, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Afumaţi - Argeș Pitești Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Afumaţi will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Argeș will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argeș: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Straton C. (G)
	5. Briceag M. (C)
	28. Buhacianu V.
	4. Doukoure K.
	9. Gronner E.
	99. Moldoveanu R.
	8. Petrescu P.
	11. Pirvu Y.
	16. Radescu I.
	25. Seto T.
	6. Tudose M.
Substitutes
	. Ailenei R.
	. Craciun L. (G)
	. Dinoci A.
	. Dinu A.
	. Dulcea P.
	. Gheorghe G.
	. Nistor E. M.
	. Orozco E.
	. Roman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Dumitrache V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nicola A. ↓, Paun A. ↑,
46', Moldoveanu R. ↓, Gheorghe G. ↑,
46', Buhacianu V. ↓, Dulcea P. ↑,
46', Gronner E. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
46', Petrescu P. ↓, Orozco E. ↑,
59', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
72', Lazar A. ↓, Shehait H. ↑,
74', Ghinet V. ↓, Burlacu D. ↑,
74', Besleaga C. ↓, Ionica A. ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Zaina I. (Pen),
88', 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Argeș could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Argeș is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Afumaţi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Afumaţi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Afumaţi
Romanian Division 2
14.12.24	Afumaţi - Steaua București	0:4 ✺
07.12.24	Dumbrăviţa - Afumaţi	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
03.12.24	Afumaţi - Rapid Bucureşti	0:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
30.11.24	Afumaţi - Reșița	3:2 ✺
23.11.24	Metalul Buzău - Afumaţi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- Argeș Pitești
Romanian Division 2
14.12.24	Muscelul Câmpulung Elite - Argeș Pitești	1:3 ✺
Romanian Cup
04.12.24	Argeș Pitești - Botoșani	0:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
28.11.24	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ - Argeș Pitești	0:0 ✺
21.11.24	Argeș Pitești - Voluntari	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Afumaţi - Argeș Pitești	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
09.11.24	Afumaţi - Argeș Pitești	1:1
16.05.18	Afumaţi - Argeș Pitești	1:1
08.11.17	Argeș Pitești - Afumaţi	2:1

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