Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 16 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Agoncillo		Racing Rioja B

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.56	3.66	5.22
	1.61	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	3.65 ↑ (3.61)	5.07 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agoncillo
57.3%

Draw
24.8%

Racing Rioja B
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

17.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Racing Rioja B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agoncillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Rioja B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Agoncillo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Racing Rioja B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Agoncillo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Agoncillo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Agoncillo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.02.23	Anguiano - Agoncillo	4:0 ✺
19.02.23	Varea - Agoncillo	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Agoncillo - Peña Balsamaiso	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Casalarreina - Agoncillo	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Agoncillo - Náxara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Racing Rioja B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.02.23	Racing Rioja B - Peña Balsamaiso	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Casalarreina - Racing Rioja B	4:2 ✺
12.02.23	Racing Rioja B - Náxara	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Calahorra B - Racing Rioja B	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Racing Rioja B - Comillas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
30.10.22	Racing Rioja B - Agoncillo	0:2

Agoncillo - Racing Rioja B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide