Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 30Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday
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Varea |
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Agoncillo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
4.15 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.16 |
3.96 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
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 |
1.85 |
3.1 |
4 |
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1.83 |
3.16 |
4.19 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.61) |
3.3 ↓
(3.52) |
4.34 ↓
(5.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Varea
51.2% | Draw
27.7% | Agoncillo
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Agoncillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Varea - Agoncillo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varea won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. In this match, Varea is the obvious favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Varea won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Varea won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Agoncillo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 8 |
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| 8 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 06.12.25 | Agoncillo - Varea | 0:1 | | 11.05.25 | Agoncillo - Varea | 2:2 | | 12.01.25 | Varea - Agoncillo | 3:2 | | 19.02.23 | Varea - Agoncillo | 2:1 | | 16.10.22 | Agoncillo - Varea | 2:0 | | 30.01.22 | Agoncillo - Varea | 1:0 | | 17.09.21 | Varea - Agoncillo | 4:0 |
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