The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense 45.5%
Draw 31.6%
Juazeirense 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
29%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
27.9%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.
Juazeirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Recently, ASA has had a series of away games.
In this match, ASA is seen as the favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
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