The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Agropecuario Argentino 52.9%
Draw 28.5%
Güemes 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
29.4%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
23.9%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agropecuario Argentino's performance.
Güemes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agropecuario Argentino that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Güemes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Agropecuario Argentino - Güemes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G) 4. Sanchez F. 2. Perez A. 6. Lecanda T. 3. Ramos M. 5. Gallucci S. (C) 11. Mosqueira R. 7. Vega J. 8. Castro R. 10. Aranda B. 9. Gagliardi A.
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Juarez W. 6. Martinez M. 3. Rizzi F. 5. Godoy F. (C) 11. Baier G. 8. Gerez M. 7. Sala S. G. 10. Ortigoza I. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
13. Aguirre A. 15. Aguirre E. 19. Auzqui C. 20. Blando B. 18. Heritier J. 16. Pereyra N. 14. Perez F. 12. Salort G. (G) 17. Valdez J.
14. Arnay R. 19. Carranza J. 18. Farrera S. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 17. Guinazu L. 15. Juarez J. 20. Leineker C. 12. Martinez L. (G) 16. Pinto A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Castro R. 🟨,
22', Martinez M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Vega J. ⚽, Aranda B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Gagliardi A. ⚽, Mosqueira R. (A),
56', Ortigoza I. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
57', Godoy F. 🟨,
64', Mosqueira R. 🟨,
67', Castro R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Vega J. ⚽, Gagliardi A. (A),
81', Vega J. ↓, Pereyra N. ↑,
81', Gagliardi A. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
81', Gallucci S. ↓, Blando B. ↑,
85', Bordon A. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
87', Mosqueira R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 3.
In recent matches, Agropecuario has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Güemes has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Agropecuario is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Agropecuario won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Agropecuario Argentino - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.64%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Güemes - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Guinazu L. 
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