Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nueva Chicago		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.00	4.33
	2.00	2.85	4.00
	1.98	2.92	4.15
	2.00	3.06	4.55
	2.1	2.99	3.96	Watch
	1.96	3.00	4.50
	1.89	2.92	4.40
	1.97	2.90	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.06)	2.96 ↑ (2.95)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
46.9%

Draw
31.3%

Agropecuario Argentino
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

31.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Agropecuario will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nueva Chicago (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 7. Ambrogio L. 3. Barros D. 10. Cardozo E. 9. Castro F. 5. Gonzalez A. 4. Palazzo B. 6. Paz G. (C) 11. Perez M. 8. Rogoski M. 2. Zalazar R. E.	1. Salort G. (G) 6. Actis D. 7. Aguirre E. 8. Aranda B. 10. Castro R. 9. Gagliardi A. 5. Gallucci S. 4. Lecanda T. 11. Mosqueira R. 2. Perez A. 3. Ramos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Cardozo E. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
11', Gagliardi A. 🟨,
12', Palazzo B. 🟨,
28', Actis D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Rogoski M. 🟨,
54', Actis D. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
56', Zalazar R. E. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
64', Castro R. 🟨,
64', Ambrogio L. ↓, Petrecca N. ↑,
65', Roldan E. ↓, Trindade G. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
81', Castro R. ↓, Vasquez D. ↑,
82', Mosqueira R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
83', Castro F. ↓, Cocimano S. ↑,
83', Barros D. ↓, Gissi D. ↑,
90+3', Aguirre E. ↓, Valdez J. ↑,
90+3', Gagliardi A. ↓, Blando B. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 2.

In recent matches, Nueva Chicago has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Agropecuario has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nueva Chicago could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.07.26	Tristán Suárez - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
04.07.26	Nueva Chicago - Güemes	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
17.06.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	4:0 ✺
13.06.26	Nueva Chicago - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLW
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Temperley	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	Deportivo Maipú - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	San Martín de San Juan - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Club Almagro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.02.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	0:2
27.09.25	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0
24.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	1:0
22.07.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	2:1
18.03.23	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	0:1
14.03.22	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0
17.10.21	Nueva Chicago - Agropecuario Argentino	1:2

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