The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Güemes 32%
Draw 38.7%
Tristán Suárez 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
38.4%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
37.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
44.4%
33.3%
Güemes - Tristán Suárez Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
1. Finochietto L. (G) 4. Bordon A. 2. Juarez W. 6. Melillan F. 3. Rizzi F. 8. Guinazu L. 5. Godoy F. 10. Veliz D. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J. 11. Pugliese G.
1. Bigo J. (G) 4. Guillen M. 2. Guzman M. 6. Baldi A. 3. Fernandez N. (C) 7. Olguin M. 5. Enrique M. 8. Ferulano M. 10. Becker D. 9. Gallo A. 11. Ramirez S.
Substitutes
15. Baier G. 16. Farrera S. 17. Gerez M. 14. Juarez J. 20. Leineker C. 12. Martinez L. (G) 13. Martinez M. 18. Ortigoza I. 19. Pinto A.
16. Alvarez F. 20. Alvarez M. 13. Aquino S. 18. Banuera G. 19. Berrondo A. 17. Colli K. 15. Mastrangelo D. 12. Mendive J. (G) 14. Molina A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽, Veliz D. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Ramirez S. ⚽,
38', Veliz D. ↓, Farrera S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Melillan F. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Baldi A. ⚽,
58', Godoy F. ↓, Baier G. ↑,
58', Pugliese G. ↓, Ortigoza I. ↑,
65', Ferulano M. ↓, Mastrangelo D. ↑,
67', Guinazu L. 🟨,
72', Becker D. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
72', Ramirez S. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Molina A. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 0.
Güemes has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tristán Suárez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Tristán Suárez will win today's game, with odds of 3.11.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Güemes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
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Guinazu L. 
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