Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan		Irapuato

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.11	3.3	3.1
	2.2	3.18	3.16
	2.15	3.24	3.19	Watch
	2.11	3.24	3.16	Watch
	2.11	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	3.12 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
42.9%

Draw
28%

Irapuato
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aguacateros CDU Uruapan's form might have worsened.

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aguacateros CDU Uruapan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irapuato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Irapuato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Chavez L. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Guzman M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 2, Ruiz J. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Rangel J. P. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 and 5).

Aguacateros in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Irapuato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aguacateros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aguacateros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Aguacateros won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aguacateros CDU Uruapan
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.24	Colima - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Canamy	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	La Piedad - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Petroleros Salamanca	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWWW
- Irapuato
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
02.11.24	Irapuato - La Piedad	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Irapuato	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Irapuato - Halcones	1:0 ✺
16.10.24	Zacatepec Siglo - Irapuato	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Irapuato - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.02.21	Irapuato - Aguacateros CDU Uruapan	1:3
10.10.20	Aguacateros CDU Uruapan - Irapuato	0:4

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