Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Ahal		Al-Gharafa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.55
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.93	3.58	2.36
	2.7	3.2	2.38	Watch
	2.82	3.5	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahal
34.5%

Draw
26.9%

Al-Gharafa
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.2%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahal than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	19%	38.1%

Ahal - Al Gharafa Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Ahal will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ahal: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Ahal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Al-Gharafa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ahal won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ahal
AFC Champions League
22.04.22	Shabab Al-Ahli - Ahal	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Ahal - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
14.04.22	Foolad Khuzestan - Ahal	1:0 ✺
10.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Ahal	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Ahal - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLT
- Al-Gharafa SC
AFC Champions League
22.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Foolad Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
18.04.22	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa	8:2 ✺
14.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Ahal	2:0 ✺
07.04.22	Foolad Khuzestan - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
10.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Ahal	2:0

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