Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Al Bayt Stadium (Al Khor)


	Al-Gharafa		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	3.6	3.5	1.95
	3.75	3.6	1.9
	3.81	3.71	1.92
	3.78	3.56	1.92	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.91
	3.72	3.46	1.92
	3.75	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.07)	3.52 ↑ (3)	1.91 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Gharafa
24.8%

Draw
26.4%

Shabab Al-Ahli
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	35.7%	50%

Al Gharafa - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shabab Al-Ahli: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. N'Diaye K. (G) 2. Yousif A. 20. Jang Hyun-Soo 42. Sano S. 21. Fadlalla S. 23. Madibo A. O. 29. Diaz F. 99. Hamed J. 31. Sassi F. (C) 7. Coman F. 9. Joselu	12. Hamza H. (C) 57. Yuri 80. Breno Lemos 17. Planic B. 31. Kauan Santos 16. Rikelme 11. Al Ghassani Y. 40. Milivojevic L. 13. Renan 9. Dabbur M. 10. Cartabia F.
Substitutes
13. Alaaeldin A. 26. Boussafi R. 16. Hassan Y. (G) 12. Ismaeil H. 40. Lecomte-Addani A. (G) 19. Saaed Ahmed Y. 14. Sudarmanto A. 25. Tamer I. 6. Traore D.	5. Abbas W. 22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 15. Al Naqbi A. 8. Alvarez G. 20. Azmoun S. 18. Gharib Juma Al Balooshi M. J. E. 77. Guilherme 26. Khamis E. 4. Marzooq M. 19. Mateusao 7. Suhail H. 50. Suleiman S.
Coaches
Martins P.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Sano S. 🟨,
36', Kauan Santos 🟨,
39', Yuri 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Sassi F. ⚽, Hamed J. (A),
57', Yuri ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
58', Breno Lemos ↓, Guilherme ↑,
58', Dabbur M. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
67', N'Diaye K. 🟨,
80', Diaz F. ↓, Ismaeil H. ↑,
82', Rikelme ↓, Suhail H. ↑,
83', Cartabia F. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
89', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
90+6', Coman F. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
90+8', Yousif A. 🟨,
90+11', Yousif A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,

Preview

Al-Gharafa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shabab Al-Ahli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Gharafa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Al-Gharafa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Gharafa SC
Qatar QSL
09.08.24	Al-Khor - Al-Gharafa	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.24	Apollon Limassol - Al-Gharafa	1:1 ✺
Qatar Emir Cup
19.05.24	Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC	2:3 penalties ✺
14.05.24	Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa	2:4 ✺
08.05.24	Al-Gharafa - Al-Ahli Doha	4:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
AFC Champions League
06.08.24	Sepahan - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:4 ET ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Udinese - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:9 ✺
UAE Football League
02.06.24	Shabab Al-Ahli - Hatta	10:0 ✺
29.05.24	Hatta - Shabab Al-Ahli	2:5 ✺
26.05.24	Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
18.04.22	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa	8:2
14.04.22	Al-Gharafa - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:1
01.05.12	Al-Gharafa - Shabab Al-Ahli	N/A

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