Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Ahlafors		Tord

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.60	3.40
	1.65	3.9	4.35
	1.64	3.97	4.46
	1.63	4.04	4.4	Watch
	1.56	3.85	4.4
	1.67	4.25	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.44)	3.94 ↓ (4.47)	4.18 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
54.9%

Draw
23.2%

Tord
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

19.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ahlafors's form might have worsened.

Tord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tord's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ahlafors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tord than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tord, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ahlafors - Tord Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Ahlafors is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tord is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ahlafors has had a series of away games.

Recently, Tord has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ahlafors is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Ahlafors will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ahlafors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ahlafors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
12	Tord	24	4	9	11	29:43	-14	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Ahlafors - Skara	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Stenungsunds - Ahlafors	0:4 ✺
07.06.26	Kumla - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Tord - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Karlstad II - Ahlafors	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTWW
- IK Tord
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Kumla - Tord	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tord - Karlstad II	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tord - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Tord - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Tord - Skara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
30.05.26	Tord - Ahlafors	1:2
21.09.25	Tord - Ahlafors	2:2
27.04.25	Ahlafors - Tord	0:1

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