Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 11

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Kumla		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	1.95
	2.63	3.40	2.16
	3.33	3.55	1.95
	3.34	3.43	2.02	Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.00
	3.21	3.83	1.97
	2.63	3.50	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.73)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kumla
29.4%

Draw
26.1%

Ahlafors
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

24.9%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

23.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kumla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kumla - Ahlafors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ahlafors will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Zetterlund J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 0.

Kumla is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ahlafors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kumla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
11	Kumla	24	6	7	11	23:42	-19	25

Last Results with these Odds

Kumla - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
30.05.26	Kumla - Herrestads	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	IFK Skövde - Kumla	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Kumla - Skara	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Karlstad II - Kumla	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Husqvarna - Kumla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
30.05.26	Tord - Ahlafors	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Karlstad II - Ahlafors	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Ahlafors - Herrestads	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ahlafors - IFK Skövde	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
23.08.25	Ahlafors - Kumla	2:1
08.09.24	Kumla - Ahlafors	1:1
09.05.24	Ahlafors - Kumla	0:0
16.10.22	Ahlafors - Kumla	2:0
05.06.22	Kumla - Ahlafors	0:1
23.10.21	Ahlafors - Kumla	2:0
12.06.21	Kumla - Ahlafors	0:2

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