Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Karlstad II		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.55	2.52
	3.15	3.42	1.94
	3.28	3.45	2.03	Watch
	3	3.5	1.95
	2.57	3.42	2.32
	2.28	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)	3.45 ↓ (3.55)	2.21 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad II
32.6%

Draw
26.3%

Ahlafors
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.8%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karlstad II's form might have worsened.

Ahlafors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad II than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlstad II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Karlstad II - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Akerman O. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Cehajic K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 🟥,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).

Karlstad II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ahlafors has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Karlstad II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karlstad II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Karlstad II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ahlafors IF	24	12	7	5	55:28	27	43
13	Karlstad II ✔	24	2	7	15	24:47	-23	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad II
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
14.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Karlstad II	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Karlstad II - Kumla	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Stenungsunds - Karlstad II	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Karlstad II - Husqvarna	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Skara - Karlstad II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
13.05.26	Ahlafors - Herrestads	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Grebbestad - Ahlafors	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ahlafors - IFK Skövde	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Motala - Ahlafors	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ahlafors - Vänersborgs IF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
09.10.21	Ahlafors - Karlstad II	1:1
05.06.21	Karlstad II - Ahlafors	1:3

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