Match Info

Copa FGF - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	Aimoré		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	5.48	3.73	1.57	Watch
	2.55	2.79	2.76
	2.5	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.21 ↑ (3)	2.34 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aimoré
27.8%

Draw
30.5%

EC Pelotas
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aimoré has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aimoré's form might have worsened.

EC Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EC Pelotas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aimoré than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aimoré, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EC Pelotas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aimoré - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Jean Roberto ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Aimoré has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pelotas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pelotas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aimoré won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aimoré won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Aimoré
Brazilian Copa FGF
16.11.25	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
12.11.25	Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Aimoré - Internacional 2	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Aimoré - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Juventude 2 - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLL
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
09.11.25	EC Pelotas - São Gabriel	Pelotas awarded ✺
02.11.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude 2	7:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gaúcho - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	EC Pelotas - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?TWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa FGF
20.09.25	Aimoré - EC Pelotas	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
30.06.24	Aimoré - EC Pelotas	2:0
28.04.24	EC Pelotas - Aimoré	2:0

Aimoré - EC Pelotas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide