Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: The Airfield (Broughton)


	Airbus UK Broughton		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.9	2.7
	2.08	3.82	2.65
	2.18	4.06	2.79	Watch
	2.11	3.9	2.72
	2.11	3.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.31)	3.92 ↓ (4.7)	2.71 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airbus UK Broughton
43.1%

Draw
23.3%

Colwyn Bay
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

19.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

19.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airbus UK Broughton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colwyn Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airbus UK Broughton than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colwyn Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Airbus UK Broughton - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Cumming J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Peers G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 2).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Colwyn Bay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Airbus UK Broughton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Airbus UK Broughton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 2:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Airbus UK Broughton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airbus UK Broughton
Welsh Cymru North
25.01.25	Holywell Town - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1 ✺
17.01.25	Bangor 1876 - Airbus UK Broughton	1:7 ✺
26.12.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Buckley Town	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Caersws	5:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
14.12.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Caersws	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru North
24.01.25	Flint Mountain - Colwyn Bay	1:5 ✺
17.01.25	Colwyn Bay - Buckley Town	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Colwyn Bay - Mold Alexandra	5:0 ✺
26.12.24	Bangor 1876 - Colwyn Bay	1:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.12.24	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
27.09.24	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	6:3
Welsh League Cup
05.08.23	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	5:0
Welsh Cymru North
05.03.22	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3
18.09.21	Airbus UK Broughton - Colwyn Bay	4:1
Welsh FA Cup
06.12.19	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0 ET

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