Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Wright R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	The New Saints		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.50	8.50
	1.22	5.50	9.00
	1.28	5.50	9.71
	1.29	5.48	9.65	Watch
	1.25	5.50	9.65
	1.24	5.20	9.90
	1.22	5.60	9.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	5.47 ↑ (4.94)	9.4 ↑ (8.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

The New Saints
73.5%

Draw
16.8%

Colwyn Bay
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

18.9%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

18.3%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The New Saints - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 20. Hughes R. 37. Jefferies I. 34. Lock J. 10. Redmond D. 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J.	1. Halstead M. (G) 21. Astles R. 8. Bratley C. 11. Davies J. 6. Forde S. 3. Hart S. 19. Hill M. 4. Peate N. 22. Poole D. 10. Robles L. 16. Williams J.
Substitutes
8. Brobbel R. 19. Clark B. 42. Clarke-Phillips R. 18. Holden R. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 28. Wilson B. 9. Young B.	13. Bubb C. 9. Davies A. 12. Kargbo I. 7. Kenny J. 2. Roberts D. 17. Roberts E.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Wilde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Lock J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Lock J. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Hughes R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 4 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
55', 5 - 0, Corness D. ⚽,
56', Astles R. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,
56', Bratley C. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
56', Robles L. ↓, Davies A. ↑,
61', 5 - 1, Peate N. ⚽,
67', Peate N. 🟨,
67', Poole D. ↓, Kargbo I. ↑,
68', Lock J. ↓, Wilson B. ↑,
73', Hughes R. ↓, Holden R. ↑,
73', Jefferies I. ↓, Brobbel R. ↑,
79', Williams J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
85', Godsmark-Ford H. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
85', Williams J. ↓, Young B. ↑,
86', Williams D. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 3.

TNS is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colwyn Bay has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, TNS is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, TNS won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, TNS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6% Colwyn Bay: 1.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
6	Colwyn Bay	12	7	1	4	21:15	6	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - The New Saints	0:5 ✺
14.08.26	The New Saints - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	The New Saints - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	Pen-y-Bont - The New Saints	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	The New Saints - Flora Tallinn	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWTL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
21.08.26	Colwyn Bay - Airbus UK Broughton	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Ammanford - Colwyn Bay	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Colwyn Bay - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	Marine - Colwyn Bay	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
20.03.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	0:2
13.02.26	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	0:2
13.01.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	1:0
25.08.25	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	1:1
Welsh FA Cup
15.12.24	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	4:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
31.10.23	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	6:1
29.08.23	Colwyn Bay - The New Saints	0:1

Upcoming Matches