Match Info

Cymru North - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: The Airfield (Broughton)


	Airbus UK Broughton		Newtown

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.75	2.78
	2.06	3.92	2.91
	1.05	11.64	25.00	Watch
	2.07	3.72	2.88
	1.74	4.1	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	5.43 ↑ (4.1)	7.43 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airbus UK Broughton
63.6%

Draw
21%

Newtown
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airbus UK Broughton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airbus UK Broughton's performance.

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newtown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airbus UK Broughton than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airbus UK Broughton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newtown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Peers G. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Peers G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 2 - 1, Evans K. (Own goal),
90+6', 2 - 2, Jones S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Airbus UK Broughton won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Airbus UK Broughton is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Airbus UK Broughton won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:32. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Airbus UK Broughton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airbus UK Broughton
Welsh Cymru North
16.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Airbus UK Broughton	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Holyhead Hotspur	4:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	The New Saints - Airbus UK Broughton	7:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
26.07.25	Buckley Town - Airbus UK Broughton	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Airbus UK Broughton - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWT
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
16.08.25	Newtown - Flint Mountain	3:1 ✺
08.08.25	Penrhyncoch - Newtown	1:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	2:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
25.07.25	Newtown - Ruthin Town	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Newtown	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
05.11.22	Newtown - Airbus UK Broughton	2:1
23.09.22	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	4:4
18.01.20	Newtown - Airbus UK Broughton	0:0
19.10.19	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	2:0
14.04.17	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	0:7
04.03.17	Newtown - Airbus UK Broughton	4:1
05.11.16	Airbus UK Broughton - Newtown	0:2

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