Match Info

Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Buckley Town		Newtown

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.35	1.75
	3.06	4.43	1.87
	1.70	4.29	3.92	Watch
	3.74	3.9	1.74
	3.2	4.3	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.88)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)	2.2 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buckley Town
32.7%

Draw
23%

Newtown
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

20.6%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

20%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buckley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Buckley Town's performance.

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newtown might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Buckley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newtown could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Buckley Town - Newtown Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Knight B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Mariette L. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Moore M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In recent matches, Buckley Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newtown is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Newtown will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Buckley Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Mold Alexandra - Buckley Town	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5 ✺
05.09.25	Denbigh Town - Buckley Town	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Buckley Town - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Buckley Town - Guilsfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTWL
- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
27.09.25	Newtown - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rhyl - Newtown	2:5 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Newtown - Bala Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Llandudno - Newtown	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Newtown - Caersws	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Buckley Town - Newtown	2:3
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Buckley Town - Newtown	1:1
22.07.14	Buckley Town - Newtown	3:2

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