Match Info

League One - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	SPFL Player


	Cove Rangers		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.67
	3.50	3.50	1.82
	4	3.7	1.72
	4.03	3.99	1.8
	3.56	3.91	1.88	Watch
	4.15	3.75	1.7
	3.87	3.66	1.74	Watch
	4	3.8	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.63)	1.76 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
23.5%

Draw
24.4%

East Kilbride
52.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.1%

24.8%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

24.1%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

East Kilbride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Cove Rangers - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 15. Darge A. 6. Mercer J. 7. Harrington R. 2. Bisland L. 18. Oppong E. 14. Chalmers J. 3. Ross D. 12. Keir M. 26. White J. (C) 16. Teasdale J.	21. Gill M. (G) 5. Fagan S. 24. O'Connor D. 23. Robertson M. 19. Calder O. 36. Culbert S. 26. Armstrong R. 11. McGuffie C. 33. Moffat O. 7. McGrattan L. 9. Elliott C.
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 8. Francis-Burrell A. 25. Milnes M. 9. Oladipo D. 32. Parker L.	8. Balde J. 17. Dargie R. 16. East E. 1. Kelly S. (G) 6. Kennedy L. 15. Maguire B. 14. McKenzie C. 12. Ross E. 22. Smith A. 2. Steele A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, White J. (Own goal),

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 10th in the Relegation - League Two and 3rd in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with East Kilbride holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cove has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1.7:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cove against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	East Kilbride	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18
10	Cove Rangers	11	1	3	7	9:18	-9	6

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 1.37% Cove Rangers: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
17.10.26	Peterhead - Cove Rangers	2:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	Cove Rangers - Formartine United	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
10.10.26	Cove Rangers - East Fife	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	4:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Cove Rangers - Aberdeen 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish League One
17.10.26	East Kilbride - Montrose	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.10.26	East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
10.10.26	East Kilbride - Airdrieonians	2:2 ✺
03.10.26	East Fife - East Kilbride	0:3 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
15.08.26	East Kilbride - Cove Rangers	3:0
Scottish League Cup
14.07.26	Cove Rangers - East Kilbride	3:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
07.09.24	East Kilbride - Cove Rangers	3:2

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