Match Info

League Cup

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: K-Park Training Academy (East Kilbride)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	East Kilbride		Dunfermline Athletic

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.90	1.50
	4.75	4.33	1.53
	4.40	4.00	1.66
	5.15	4.37	1.56
	4.52	4.23	1.65	Watch
	5.05	4.25	1.54
	5.25	4.09	1.58
	4.80	4.20	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.93)	4.17 ↑ (3.94)	1.58 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Kilbride
19%

Draw
22.2%

Dunfermline Athletic
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.7%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Dunfermline Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunfermline Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 4. Hamilton J. 24. O'Connor D. 3. Kyle A. 10. Zaid M. 25. Armstrong R. 11. McGuffie C. 8. Balde J. 22. Gray F. 9. Elliott C. (C)	12. Dibaga M. (G) 11. Kearney S. 4. Cleall-Harding S. 3. Tod J. 47. Fraser R. 22. Bray K. 8. Gilmour C. (C) 18. Corbally K. 7. Morrison C. 10. Shaw O. 26. Tod A.
Substitutes
19. Calder O. 17. Foster K. 16. Lawson N. 7. McGrattan L. 21. McKendrick L. 23. McKenna C. 12. Ross E. 6. Spalding A. 2. Steele A.	14. Amade A. 33. Cooper J. 23. Davidson A. 34. Fyfe L. 16. MacLeod R. 28. McLeod E. 5. Robinson L. 9. Rudden Z. 40. Terrell B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Balde J. ↓, McGrattan L. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, McGrattan L. ⚽, Zaid M. (A),
36', McGuffie C. 🟨,
44', Tod J. 🟨,
45+1', McGrattan L. ↓, Calder O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Gray F. ⚽,
60', Tod J. ↓, Robinson L. ↑,
60', Gilmour C. ↓, Amade A. ↑,
60', Morrison C. ↓, Rudden Z. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Elliott C. ⚽, Kelly S. (A),
78', Elliott C. ↓, Spalding A. ↑,
83', Bray K. ↓, McLeod E. ↑,
84', Tod A. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
84', 🟨,

Preview

Dunfermline has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

East Kilbride may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dunfermline has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dunfermline is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, East Kilbride won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, East Kilbride won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Kilbride FC
Club Friendly
27.06.26	East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts	4:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
02.05.26	East Kilbride - Clyde	5:0 ✺
25.04.26	Dumbarton - East Kilbride	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	East Kilbride - Edinburgh City	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Forfar Athletic - East Kilbride	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- Dunfermline Athletic
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	Clyde - Dunfermline Athletic	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Botoșani - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
23.05.26	Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic	3:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
15.05.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.06.25	East Kilbride - Dunfermline Athletic	1:0
Scottish League Cup
27.07.19	Dunfermline Athletic - East Kilbride	4:0

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