Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 20

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)


	Airdrieonians		Edinburgh City

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	4.5
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.56	3.95	5
	1.61	4.1	4.5
	1.62	4.27	4.88
	1.6	3.75	4.75
	1.61	4.15	4.8	Watch
	1.6	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	4.03 ↑ (3.62)	4.63 ↑ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
57.4%

Draw
22.8%

Edinburgh City
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.2%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Edinburgh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Airdrieonians - Edinburgh City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Edinburgh City will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Airdrieonians: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Airdrieonians is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Edinburgh is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Airdrieonians is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
23.12.22	Montrose - Airdrieonians	2:4 ✺
03.12.22	Falkirk - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Dundee - Airdrieonians	6:2 ET ✺
Scottish League One
19.11.22	Airdrieonians - Kelty Hearts	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLWT
- Edinburgh City FC
Scottish League One
24.12.22	Edinburgh City - Peterhead	4:0 ✺
17.12.22	Edinburgh City - Montrose	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Clyde - Edinburgh City	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Drumchapel United - Edinburgh City	1:0 ✺
Scottish League One
19.11.22	Edinburgh City - Alloa Athletic	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
22.10.22	Edinburgh City - Airdrieonians	3:1
03.09.22	Airdrieonians - Edinburgh City	0:6
Scottish League Cup
12.07.22	Airdrieonians - Edinburgh City	1:2 penalties
Scottish Cup
10.01.21	Airdrieonians - Edinburgh City	0:1
Scottish League Cup
11.11.20	Airdrieonians - Edinburgh City	0:1

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