Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 29

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)


	Airdrieonians		Peterhead

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.19	6	10
	1.17	6.4	9.5
	1.25	5.2	9
	1.21	6.68	13.24
	1.18	5.5	13
	1.2	6.25	12.25	Watch
	1.2	5.8	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.34)	5.92 ↑ (4.6)	11.25 ↑ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
76.4%

Draw
15.5%

Peterhead
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.6%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

11.2%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Airdrieonians's performance.

Peterhead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (-38%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Airdrieonians that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterhead than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterhead could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Airdrieonians - Peterhead Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Airdrieonians will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Peterhead will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Airdrieonians: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 3.

Airdrieonians is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Peterhead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Airdrieonians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Airdrieonians is indisputable favorite.

Last 25 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 39-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
11.03.23	Airdrieonians - Kelty Hearts	6:1 ✺
04.03.23	Queen of the South - Airdrieonians	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Airdrieonians - Falkirk	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL
- Peterhead
Scottish League One
04.03.23	Falkirk - Peterhead	5:0 ✺
25.02.23	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Clyde - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Alloa Athletic - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Peterhead - Queen of the South	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
07.01.23	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:3
12.11.22	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	1:1
30.07.22	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:2
30.04.22	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	1:1
19.02.22	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	0:1
06.11.21	Airdrieonians - Peterhead	3:1
21.08.21	Peterhead - Airdrieonians	2:3

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