Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 28

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Excelsior Stadium (Airdrie)


	Airdrieonians		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.75
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.5
	1.91	3.55	3.55
	1.83	3.9	3.95
	1.83	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.75	3.82	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.81)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	3.67 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Airdrieonians
49.4%

Draw
25.7%

Kelty Hearts
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

25%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Airdrieonians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Airdrieonians than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Airdrieonians - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Airdrieonians is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kelty Hearts is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Airdrieonians will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Airdrieonians won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Airdrieonians FC
Scottish League One
04.03.23	Queen of the South - Airdrieonians	3:2 ✺
25.02.23	Airdrieonians - Falkirk	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Dunfermline Athletic - Airdrieonians	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Airdrieonians - Dunfermline Athletic	3:4 ✺
04.02.23	Airdrieonians - Clyde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLW
- Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One
04.03.23	Kelty Hearts - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	3:0 ✺
04.02.23	Kelty Hearts - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Montrose - Kelty Hearts	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
14.01.23	Kelty Hearts - Airdrieonians	1:1
19.11.22	Airdrieonians - Kelty Hearts	1:0
01.10.22	Kelty Hearts - Airdrieonians	1:0

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