The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajax 83%
Draw 11.1%
ADO Den Haag 5.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
76.2%
15.4%
8.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Ajax - ADO Den Haag Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Liefting F. (G) 15. Touon E. 4. Kees S. 5. Knol A. 2. Visscher A. 16. te Brake S. 6. Noordam N. 8. Spitse S. (C) 21. Thomas K. 9. Snoeijs K. 26. Kip X.
1. Badenhop B. (G) 21. Burgers J. 3. van Boxtel A. 14. Koeleman S. 17. Kruize E. 8. Dupon Q. 7. Van Egmond A. 23. Reijers F. 25. Horsman S. 19. Ijzerman N. (C) 9. Bol F.
Substitutes
35. Deitelzweig K. 24. De Klonia D. 3. Noordermeer D. 10. Smits J. 1. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J.
2. Bosmans P. 11. Boukakar R. 16. Buijs B. (G) 4. den Turk D. 18. Groenendijk T. 37. Veerman E. 15. Walsem v. I.
Coaches
Bruil A.
Polak S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Kees S. ⚽, Spitse S. (A),
27', 2 - 0, te Brake S. ⚽, Thomas K. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Van Egmond A. ⚽, Bol F. (A),
45+2', 3 - 1, te Brake S. ⚽, Spitse S. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Ijzerman N. ↓, Groenendijk T. ↑,
46', Dupon Q. ↓, Bosmans P. ↑,
52', 4 - 1, Visscher A. ⚽,
57', 5 - 1, te Brake S. ⚽, Visscher A. (A),
60', Horsman S. ↓, Walsem v. I. ↑,
62', Kip X. ↓, Deitelzweig K. ↑,
62', Thomas K. ↓, De Klonia D. ↑,
64', van Boxtel A. ↓, den Turk D. ↑,
69', 6 - 1, Snoeijs K. ⚽, Noordam N. (A),
70', Touon E. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
73', Kruize E. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
75', te Brake S. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
76', Knol A. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
77', Bol F. ↓, Veerman E. ↑,
87', Veerman E. 🟥,
89', 7 - 1, Noordermeer D. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Ajax may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ajax enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajax has recorded 14 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 45:13 (averaging 2.3:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 24:4 goals (averaging 2.4:0.4 per game).