Match Info

UEFA Europa Cup Women - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)


	Ajax		Hammarby

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.41	3.7	2.6
	2.79	3.25	2.41	Watch
	2.21	3.58	2.7
	1.65	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.59)	3.66 ↓ (4.33)	2.95 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
41.9%

Draw
25.9%

Hammarby
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

21.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

19.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajax - Hammarby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Ajax (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Eijk R. (G) 16. Noordman D. 24. De Klonia D. 3. Noordermeer D. 2. Visscher A. 6. van de Velde J. 8. Spitse S. (C) 11. Van Egmond B. 9. Tolhoek D. 20. Colin I. 12. van Hensbergen J.	28. Loeck M. (G) 17. Lennartsson S. 31. Holmberg S. 18. Carlsson A. (C) 2. Bragstad E. 41. Blakstad J. 20. Hasund V. 7. Joramo E. 6. Miyagawa A. 9. Josendal A. 11. Wangerheim E.
Substitutes
21. Buikema N. 4. den Turk D. 7. Derks R. 17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 10. Smits J. 25. Touzani L. 5. van Asten R. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 18. van Oosten L.	5. Boye S. 29. Edrud M. (G) 30. Jurander F. (G) 8. Koivisto V. 23. Lundgren A. 27. Maiquez S. 25. Peterson F. 15. Reidy S. 22. Sjodahl H. 10. Sprung B.
Coaches
Bruil A.	Sjogren M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Blakstad J. ⚽, Holmberg S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Josendal A. ⚽, Wangerheim E. (A),
55', Noordermeer D. ↓, van Asten R. ↑,
55', Colin I. ↓, Derks R. ↑,
63', van de Velde J. 🟨,
63', 🟨,
66', Hasund V. ↓, Koivisto V. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Wangerheim E. ⚽,
71', van Hensbergen J. ↓, Touzani L. ↑,
72', Lennartsson S. ↓, Reidy S. ↑,
73', Reidy S. 🟨,
74', 1 - 3, van de Velde J. ⚽, Derks R. (A),
78', Spitse S. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
82', Miyagawa A. ↓, Boye S. ↑,
82', Josendal A. ↓, Sprung B. ↑,
90+4', Koivisto V. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Ajax is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hammarby is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hammarby has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ajax is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ajax will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
08.11.25	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hera United - Ajax	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
16.10.25	Ajax - Grasshoppers	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
12.10.25	Ajax - Excelsior	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
08.10.25	Grasshoppers - Ajax	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT
- Hammarby IF DFF
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
07.11.25	Alingsås - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	4:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vittsjö - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
16.10.25	Brann - Hammarby	1:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
11.10.25	Häcken - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWTL

Ajax - Hammarby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide