Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dijk M. v. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	07:15	DSports 4
Brazil	07:15	N Sports
Ecuador	05:15	DSports 4
Netherlands	12:15	ESPN
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	12:15	DAZN Espana


	Ajax		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.45
	2.28	3.35	2.62
	2.27	3.73	2.76
	2.26	3.68	2.69	Watch
	2.2	3.65	2.7
	2.16	3.8	2.83
	2.28	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	2.66 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
40.3%

Draw
25.5%

PSV Eindhoven
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ajax - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Liefting F. (G) 21. Thomas K. 5. Knol A. 2. Visscher A. 15. Touon E. 26. Kip X. 8. Spitse S. (C) 6. Noordam N. 19. van Koppen M. 16. te Brake S. 9. Snoeijs K.	1. Evrard N. (G) 2. Thrige S. 3. Hendriks G. 8. Folkertsma S. 5. Bross M. 19. Cayman J. (C) 30. Renfurm R. 10. Ripa C. 21. van de Sanden S. 17. Jacobs L. 18. Rijsbergen L.
Substitutes
24. De Klonia D. 3. Noordermeer D. 10. Smits J. 1. van der Vliet D. (G) 22. van der Weide S. (G) 30. Van Dijk E. 11. Van Egmond B. 12. van Hensbergen J.	31. Akkermans K. (G) 16. Alkemade L. (G) 20. Altena A. 23. Chibani A. 25. Frijns E. 11. Hickelsberger-Fuller J. 6. Lacroix R. 4. Rutgers M. 43. Schippers B. 37. Selderbeek A.
Coaches
Bruil A.	Kurland K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Jacobs L. ⚽, Ripa C. (A),
18', 0 - 2, van de Sanden S. ⚽, Rijsbergen L. (A),
39', Touon E. 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Kip X. (Own goal),
41', Visscher A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Thomas K. ↓, De Klonia D. ↑,
54', 0 - 4, Rijsbergen L. ⚽, Jacobs L. (A),
59', van Koppen M. ↓, Van Egmond B. ↑,
59', Kip X. ↓, Noordermeer D. ↑,
62', 1 - 4, Spitse S. ⚽,
76', Touon E. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
78', Rijsbergen L. ↓, Altena A. ↑,
78', van de Sanden S. ↓, Hickelsberger-Fuller J. ↑,
83', Thrige S. ↓, Rutgers M. ↑,
83', Ripa C. ↓, Lacroix R. ↑,
88', Bross M. ↓, Frijns E. ↑,
90+3', Snoeijs K. ↓, Smits J. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd and 3rd in the Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ajax has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:29 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ajax against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 22:11 goals (averaging 2.2:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax W	8	6	0	2	21:10	11	18
3	PSV W	8	5	1	2	21:9	12	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
04.10.26	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Aktobe - Ajax	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.09.26	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Ajax - Aktobe	8:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
19.09.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW
- PSV Eindhoven Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
04.10.26	ADO Den Haag - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Fortuna Hjørring - PSV Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
26.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - De Graafschap	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Hjørring	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
19.09.26	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Cup Women
29.05.26	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	3:0
Dutch Eredivisie Women
05.04.26	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	1:1
08.11.25	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie Cup Women
21.05.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	4:1
Dutch Eredivisie Women
22.03.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	3:1
07.12.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	0:2
Dutch Eredivisie Cup Women
15.05.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ET

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