Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 5

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van Leeuwen L. (Ned)


	Ajax		Excelsior

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.02	11	35
	1.01	12	19.5
	1.01	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1	12	33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	9 ↓ (13.19)	22.13 ↓ (28.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
86.4%

Draw
9.7%

Excelsior
3.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

89.9%

3.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ajax - Excelsior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Eijk R. (G) 2. Visscher A. 3. Noordermeer D. 16. Noordman D. 6. van de Velde J. 8. Spitse S. (C) 9. Tolhoek D. 12. van Hensbergen J. 24. De Klonia D. 25. Touzani L. 11. Van Egmond B.	1. van der Klooster A. (G) 14. Verheijen J. 3. Westerink M. 4. Helderman Y. (C) 21. Burgers J. 10. Hendriks K. 15. Yamamoto M. 17. Vrij N. 22. Homan C. 9. Gomez I. 8. Hilhorst N.
Substitutes
21. Buikema N. 20. Colin I. 7. Derks R. 17. Dostmohamed I. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 10. Smits J. 5. van Asten R. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 19. van Koppen M. 18. van Oosten L. 27. van Schoonhoven N.	18. Balkhir H. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 11. Martina S. 12. Raaff de J. 32. van der Eijk F. 6. van der Vlist A. 19. van Spijk V.
Coaches
Anouk B.	Kreugel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Tolhoek D. ⚽, Van Egmond B. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', van de Velde J. ↓, Smits J. ↑,
46', Touzani L. ↓, van Koppen M. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Spitse S. ⚽, De Klonia D. (A),
62', Yamamoto M. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
62', Gomez I. ↓, Balkhir H. ↑,
62', Hendriks K. ↓, van Spijk V. ↑,
67', Van Egmond B. ↓, Derks R. ↑,
75', Tolhoek D. ↓, Buikema N. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, van Koppen M. ⚽, Noordman D. (A),
86', van Hensbergen J. ↓, Dostmohamed I. ↑,
90', Vrij N. ↓, De With L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 5.

Ajax is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ajax has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ajax is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 61:9. (average 3.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:3. (average 2.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Ajax Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
08.10.25	Grasshoppers - Ajax	0:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
04.10.25	Ajax - Heerenveen	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
18.09.25	Sturm Graz - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWTWW
- Excelsior Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
05.10.25	Excelsior - Zwolle	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Heerenveen - Excelsior	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
25.07.25	Feyenoord - Excelsior	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
17.05.25	Excelsior - Ajax	1:3
22.12.24	Ajax - Excelsior	3:1
20.01.24	Ajax - Excelsior	6:1
15.09.23	Excelsior - Ajax	1:3
10.03.23	Excelsior - Ajax	0:3
21.10.22	Ajax - Excelsior	3:1
24.04.22	Excelsior - Ajax	2:8

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